In October, the average monthly temperature is expected to be around and above the norm, which in the plains is between 11 and 15 degrees, in the high fields – between 10 and 13, in the mountainous regions – from 0 to 7. The highest temperatures in October will be between 27 and 32 degrees, and the lowest – between minus 5 and 0, NIMH predicts.
The monthly amount of precipitation in most of the country will be around and below the norm, which for the southeastern regions is between 50 and 100 l/sq.m, for the rest – between 40 and 70 l/sq.m.
During the first days of the month, the weather will be calm in autumn, almost without precipitation, it will be mostly sunny and with temperatures higher than usual. In the middle of the first ten days, a cold atmospheric front will pass through the country. Cloudiness will increase from west to east and rain will fall in places. The wind will shift from the northwest, cold air will move in and temperatures will drop. There is a possibility that after the frontal decrease in cloudiness, the minimum temperatures in the valleys and on the high fields will drop significantly, to below 3 degrees, and the first autumn frosts will form there.
At the end of the first and first days of the second ten-day period, the dynamics of atmospheric processes will increase. There will be precipitation in many places, and the decrease in temperatures will continue and they will approach the climatic norms. In the following days, until the end of the second ten-day period, an anti-cyclonic type of weather will be established. It will be dry, mostly sunny, in places on the plains in the hours until noon there will be low stratus clouds or fog. Daytime temperatures will rise again and be above climate norms, but minimum temperatures will be low – in places around and below 0 degrees.
On most days and from the third ten-day period, the tendency for temperatures to be close to and higher than the climatic norms is maintained. The weather will be determined by an anticyclonic type of circulation. Sunny weather will prevail with morning mists or low clouds in the flat part of the country. Atmospheric disturbances are likely to pass in the middle and end of the period, when there will be rain in places.